Chinese Nuclear Weapons (2000s-present)
In the last few decades, China has begun to shift its nuclear posture and developments from a small, static force towards a larger force with more capabilities (and consequently opening the door to move away from a no-first use policy). This article discusses the recent history of China's nuclear competition and investments, and attempts to list some potential explanations as to why these changes are being made.
What has China been developing/building?
Hypersonic Glide Vehicles
Recently, China has been developing a number of previously unknown/unidentified HGVs. Over Summer 2021, China conducted multiple tests of these systems, much to the surprise of many who assumed they had no HGV ambitions.[1]
Nuclear Silo Field(s)
Thanks to the great work of some fellow wonks, major construction was found at two different sites in western China, indicating a massive construction project that amounts to a massive silo field. Similar in design to the MPS system in the MX Basing Study, altogether we end up with a picture indicating significant nuclear expansion by China.[2]
Fissile Material production?
Some have argued that the rapid ramp-up of nuclear energy generation in China serves the dual purpose of allowing fissile material production and eventual reprocessing for future weapons; however, this is currently little more than speculation.[3]
Why is China pursuing expanded nuclear capabilities?
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